Statisticians Can Matter

نویسندگان

  • Harry V. Roberts
  • HARRY V. ROBERTS
چکیده

statistical argument by comparison with a vivid but often misleading case history. In those areas of statistical applications where the forecasts implied by statistical studies can be checked, it would be useful to attempt systematic collection and validation, and to contrast forecasts made by statistical methods with those made by less formal methods. Recent developments in forecasting of business and economic data make this methodology especially attractive to statisticians in business firms who desire to demonstrate the value of their knowledge, and interactive computing is an excellent vehicle for the demonstration. I have concentrated my attention on statisticians and decision making in business firms. I have had some experience with statistical applications in areas outside of business. I would conjecture that broadly similar essays could be written about almost any area of application. Statisticians will have an exciting opportunity and challenge in the years ahead to see if the technological miracles of computing can be effectively exploited.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Cramming for Court: Teaching Statistics to Litigators

Experienced litigators pride themselves on being able to do a quick study of any subject, no matter how esoteric. However, self-help frequently does not suffice when the subject is statistics. No matter how well-prepared the expert testimony on their side, the failure of many litigators to be able to understand the statistics of the opposition adequately to cross-examine effectively has doomed ...

متن کامل

Understanding and Modelling Variability: Practitioners’ Perspectives

1. Introduction " Variability is our business " , or so we statisticians like to claim. Though it is possible to describe the ways in which mature applied statisticians think about and then model variability in particular scientific or engineering contexts (Wild & Pfannkuch 1999), it is much more difficult to trace how they come to that understanding. Another way of saying this is to ask, " How...

متن کامل

ESTABLISHED CRITERIA AND SELECTED METHODS FOR EVALUATING CROP YIELD MODELS IN THE AgRISTARS PROGRAM

Eight criteria have been established in the AgRISTARS Program to guide the evaluation and comparative analysis of crop yield models. The establishment of these criteria closely corresponds to the spirit of Dr. Hartley's ASA Presidential Address, particularly section three entitled "The Cooperation Between Statistician and Subject Matter Specialist" (1980). In our case the cooperation is between...

متن کامل

The dilemma of statistics

Statistics although being indispensible in present day science and society has a bad reputation in particular in public. This can hardly be expressed in a better way than in the famous well-known quotation: “There are three kinds of lies: Lies, damned lies, and statistics”. It would be unfair not to make an attempt to restore the image of statistics and I try to do this in part by means of anot...

متن کامل

Data sharing and the evolving role of statisticians

BACKGROUND Greater transparency and, in particular, sharing of clinical study reports and patient level data for further research is an increasingly important topic for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry and other organisations who sponsor and conduct clinical research as well as academic researchers and patient advocacy groups. Statisticians are ambassadors for data sharing and are ...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2001